Forming a new Central Asia – How Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan build regional order under multipolar pressure
Publish date: 2026-05-08
Report number: FOI-R--5814--SE
Pages: 96
Written in: English
Keywords:
- Kazakhstan
- Uzbekistan
- Central Asia
- multipolarity
- multi-vector foreign policy
- regional cooperation
- Russia
- China
- European Union
- United States
- Turkey
Abstract
Central Asia is becoming a pivotal region in an evolving multipolar world. Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are leveraging shifting geopolitics to strengthen sovereignty, diversify partnerships, and shape a new regional order. Both pursue multi- vector foreign policies, balancing major powers while avoiding alignment amid rivalries. Russia remains an unavoidable but risky neighbour, prompting close bilateral relationships and careful diplomacy. China is a vital economic partner, but its influence must be managed to account for domestic sensitivities. Turkey's military capability and role as gateway to Western markets enhance its strategic importance. The EU and the US provide opportunities for trade, investment, and connectivity. Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan also engage with South Korea, Japan, the Gulf states, India, and Iran. Regionally, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are driving a more cohesive Central Asia. Their bilateral axis underpins growing regional cooperation and engagement with external powers. As internal coordination deepens and ties with the South Caucasus expand, through the inclusion of Azerbaijan in the regional processes, Central Asian states are becoming more proactive actors shaping their joint future.