The Caucasian Test Case: Consequences and Lessons Learned of the Russian-Georgian War in August2008


  • Robert Larsson

Publish date: 2008-09-11

Report number: FOI-R--2563--SE

Pages: 155

Written in: Swedish


  • Russia
  • Georgia
  • South Ossetia
  • Abkhazia
  • CIS
  • United States
  • China
  • Japan
  • Middle East
  • EU
  • UN
  • international law
  • security policy
  • war
  • military operations
  • economy
  • energy
  • strategy
  • geopolitics
  • international relations


The war between Georgia and Russia in August 2008 has fundamentally changed the playing field of international relations and the aftermath of the war will have profound consequences. The purpose of this study is to analyze some central issues and implications of the war. The aim is to, shortly after the war and based on open sources material, draw some tentative conclusions regarding the consequences for the region and the world. The primary conclusion is that Russia's actions have triggered a far-reaching reassessment of the present world order. This will in turn lead to extensive policy changes at different levels as the actors adapt and try to influence the formation of the new world order. The war has laid bare the challenges and problems of the present international system. Responses to Russia's actions will give an early indication of the character and modus operandi of the coming world order.